Visa / Mastercard Settlement Thoughts
Saw news today, from CNN, that "Two of the world’s largest credit card networks, Visa and Mastercard, as well as the banks that issue cards with them, have agreed to settle a decadeslong antitrust case brought upon by merchants. The settlement is set to lower swipe fees merchants pay when customers make purchases using their Visa or Mastercard by $30 billion over five years, according to a press release announcing the settlement Tuesday morning."
$30B sounds like a lot of money, and it is, but for reference will only lower interchange (the word for swipe fees) but 0.04% over a three (3) year period of time. Given that the lawsuit started in 2005 from the National Retail Federation, it does not sound like much of a win to me. The litigation cost over an 19 year lawsuit would have been substantial.
I think the bigger long-term disrupter will be the Capital One / Discover pending merger where Capital One conceivably could drive customers away from Visa / Mastercard to the Discover network as long as they can generate merchant acceptance of Discover cards.
The other hope would be for federal government action to regulate credit card interchange rates like they do for debit card interchange rates (Durbin amendment).
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